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Modelling the pandemic: attuning models to their contexts

Rhodes, T.; K. Lancaster; S. Lees et al. WHO (2020) C_WHO
BMJ Global Health2020;5:e002914. doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002914 The evidence produced in mathematical models plays a key role in shaping policy decisions in pandemics. A key question is therefore how well pandemic models relate to their implementation contexts. Drawing on the cases of Ebola and in... more
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Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: a scenario analysis to 2030 - July 2020

Cilliers, J.; et al. Institute for Security Studies ISS (2020) CC
This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected Sustainable Development Goals targets. ... more