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1
1
Inferences through Machine Learning.Background Report.
What are the major origins and drivers of different types of conflict? Sorting out the main
causes of conflict and war is difficult and often shaped by ideological believes. Even today,
historians and political scientists have discussions on
...
the primary causes of the First World
War. There are several types of conflict, ranging from international and civil wars to local
conflicts, riots and revolution. And there are many theories that explain these different types
of conflict, which mostly focus on economic conditions and a range of factors that can foster
grievances and greed, creating incentives to initiate or join a conflict
more
Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease that occurs mainly in the tropics and subtropics but has a high potential to spread to new areas. Dengue infections are climate sensitive, so it is important to better understand how changing climate factors affect the potential for geographic spread and futu
...
re dengue epidemics. Vectorial capacity (VC) describes a vector's propensity to transmit dengue taking into account human, virus, and vector interactions. VC is highly temperature dependent, but most dengue models only take mean temperature values into account. Recent evidence shows that diurnal temperature range (DTR) plays an important role in influencing the behavior of the primary dengue vector Aedes aegypti. In this study, we used relative VC to estimate dengue epidemic potential (DEP) based on the temperature and DTR dependence of the parameters of A. aegypti. We found a strong temperature dependence of DEP; it peaked at a mean temperature of 29.3°C when DTR was 0°C and at 20°C when DTR was 20°C. Increasing average temperatures up to 29°C led to an increased DEP, but temperatures above 29°C reduced DEP. In tropical areas where the mean temperatures are close to 29°C, a small DTR increased DEP while a large DTR reduced it. In cold to temperate or extremely hot climates where the mean temperatures are far from 29°C, increasing DTR was associated with increasing DEP. Incorporating these findings using historical and predicted temperature and DTR over a two hundred year period (1901-2099), we found an increasing trend of global DEP in temperate regions. Small increases in DEP were observed over the last 100 years and large increases are expected by the end of this century in temperate Northern Hemisphere regions using climate change projections. These findings illustrate the importance of including DTR when mapping DEP based on VC.
more
The Lancet Planetary Health, Vol.5 Issue 2, Feb. 1,2021.
Nationally determined contributions (NDCs) serve to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement of staying “well below 2°C”, which could also yield substantial health co-benefits in the process. However, existing NDC commitments are inadequa
...
te to achieve this goal. Placing health as a key focus of the NDCs could present an opportunity to increase ambition and realise health co-benefits. We modelled scenarios to analyse the health co-benefits of NDCs for the year 2040 for nine representative countries (ie, Brazil, China, Germany, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, South Africa, the UK, and the USA) that were selected for their contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions and their global or regional influence.
more
Geflüchtete Menschen sind vielfältigen psychosozialen Belastungen ausgesetzt. Um Versorgungs- und Präventionsbedarfe dieser Bevölkerungsgruppe niedrigschwellig und diversitätssensibel zu decken, werden vermehrt Peer-Ansätze verfolgt. Der vorliegende Beitrag informiert den Diskurs über die (We
...
iter-)Entwicklung und Implementierung von entsprechenden Angeboten für geflüchtete Menschen in Deutschland, indem zentrale Erkenntnisse aus der Prozessevaluation des präventiven Peer- Ansatzes „Mind-Spring“ (MS) nach Pilotierung in einem kommunalen Setting vorgestellt und diskutiert werden.
more
Die vorliegende Studie HLS-MIG liefert erstmals für Deutschland detaillierte Daten zur Gesundheitskompetenz von Menschen mit Migrationshintergrund. Sie konzentriert sich auf die beiden großen Einwanderungsgruppen: Menschen mit ex-sowjetischem und türkischem Migrationshintergrund. Die Studie schli
...
eßt inhaltlich und methodisch an die zweite Studie zur Gesundheitskompetenz der Bevölkerung in Deutschland an (HLS-GER 2; Schaeffer et al. 2021) und ist um relevante migrationsspezifische Aspekte
ergänzt worden. Neben der allgemeinen Gesundheitskompetenz wurden auch die digitale und die navigationale Gesundheitskompetenz untersucht.
more
Parte I - Baciloscopía
Panam Salud Publica. 2021;45:e22. https://doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2021.22
Informe de Gestión del Programa de Tuberculosis República Dominicana 2020
Sanchez Cardenas, R.; Puello A., Quezada, H. , et al.
Ministerio de Salud Pública Santo Domingo
(2019)
CC
Pulmonary tuberculosis predictors and rapid molecular diagnosis
Preditores de tuberculose pulmonar e experiência com o diagnóstico molecular rápido
El objetivo de este artículo es analizar las condiciones de acceso a servicios de salud de las personas con tuberculosis en América
Latina y el Caribe (ALC), reflexionando desde la bioética sobre los aspectos de salud pública implicados. Se realizó una revisión
documental del contexto de la
...
tuberculosis en ALC con base en datos epidemiológicos. Los resultados se analizaron a partir de su
relación con los determinantes sociales de la salud, los principios éticos que pautan la práctica médica y la responsabilidad social
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Die durch den Klimawandel verursachte globale Erwärmung hat in vielen Regionen der Welt,
so auch in Deutschland, eine vermehrte Häufigkeit und Dauer von Hitzeereignissen zur Folge.
Hitze kann den menschlichen Organismus gesundheitlich stark belasten und auch für das
Gesundheitswesen können Hi
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tzeperioden ein Problem darstellen. Abhilfe können hier - ne-
ben Klimaschutzmaßnahmen - gemeinsame Anstrengungen zur Prävention von Hitzeauswir-
kungen auf die Bevölkerung schaffen
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Diagnóstico y tratamiento de sífilis recomendaciones para los equipos de salud.
Peru − Progress in health and sciences in 200 years of independence
Carrillo-Larco; R.M.; Guzman-Vilca, W. C.; Leon-Velarde, F.; et al.
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
(2021)
CC
Peru celebrates 200 years of independence in 2021. Over this period of independent life, and despite the turbulent socio-political scenarios, from internal armed conflict to economic crisis to political instability over the last 40 years, Peru has experienced major changes on its epidemiological and
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population health profile. Major advancements in maternal and child health as well as in communicable diseases have been achieved in recent decades, and today
Peru faces an increasing burden of non-communicable diseases including mental health conditions. In terms of the configuration of the public health system, Peru has also strived to secure country-wide optimal health care, struggling in particular to improve primary health care and intercultural services.
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Compendium of Animal Rabies Prevention and Control, 2016
Brown C.M., Slavinski S., Ettestad P. et al
National Association of State Public Health Veterinarians Compendium of Animal Rabies Prevention and Control Committee
(2016)
C2
Rabies is a fatal viral zoonosis and serious public health problem.1 All mammals are believed to be susceptible to the disease, and for the purposes of this document, use of the term animal refers to mammals. The disease is an acute, progressive encephalitis caused by viruses in the genus Lyssavirus
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.
2 Rabies virus is the most important lyssavirus globally. In the
United States, multiple rabies virus variants are maintained in wild mammalian reservoir populations such as raccoons, skunks, foxes, and bats. Although the United States has been declared free from transmission of canine rabies virus variants, there is always a risk of reintroduction of these variants.The rabies virus is usually transmitted from animal to animal through bites. The incubation period is
highly variable. In domestic animals, it is generally 3 to 12 weeks, but can range from several days to months, exceeding 6 months.8 Rabies is communicable during the period of salivary shedding of rabies virus. Experimental and historic evidence documents that dogs, cats, and ferrets shed the virus for a few days prior to the onset of clinical signs and during illness. Clinical signs of rabies are variable and include inappetance, dysphagia, cranial nerve deficits, abnormal behavior, ataxia, paralysis, altered vocalization, and seizures. Progression to death is rapid. There are currently no known effective rabies antiviral drugs.
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https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0002439
South Sudan has a high burden – among the highest in sub-Saharan Africa – of neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). This adversely affects the health and social and economic well-being of people in the country. The prevention, control and eventual elim
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ination of many NTDs depend heavily on improved access to water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) and, once there is access, on sound sanitation and hygiene practices. This is especially the case in NTD endemic communities.
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The guidance in this publication consists of generic definitions and methodologies for the characterization of extreme weather and climate events. This publication contribute to ensuring consistent exchange of information that underpins the WMO State of the Climate Reports, Climate Watches, climate
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change studies and other emerging applications.
The purpose of the present guidelines is not to change the practice at the national level. Instead, it provides guidance for generic definitions, which are useful in contributing to WMO State of the Climate reports, climate watches, climate change studies and other emerging applications, including the recently adopted methodology for cataloguing hazardous events (WMO-CHE). These applications require regional and/or international exchange of information on extreme events.
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SDG Costing & Financing for Low-Income Developing Countries
Sachs, J.; G. McCord; N. Maennling et al.
UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN)
(2019)
CC
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for major societal transformations that will require significant fiscal outlays as well as private investments. The fiscal outlays cover public investments, the public provision of social services, and social protection for vulnerable populations. The ke
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y message of this paper, building on recent reports by the IMF and SDSN (IMF, 2019b; SDSN, 2018) is that the governments of Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) will require a substantial increase in fiscal (budget) revenues, far beyond what they can achieve by their own fiscal reforms. For this reason, SDG financing will require substantial international cooperation to enable the LIDCs to finance their SDG fiscal outlays. One important source of increased revenues should be the globally coordinated taxation of ultra-high-net worth assets. Today’s ultra-rich should help to pay for the survival and basic needs of the world’s poorest people.
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The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in a double shock - health and economic. As of March 1, 2021, COVID-19 has cost more than 2.5 million lives and triggered an economic recession surpassing any economic downturn since World War II.
Part I of this paper explores the impact of this current macro-fisc
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al outlook on the three primary sources of health spending. Drawing on experiences from previous economic crises, scenario analyses suggest a fall in government per capita spending on health in 2021 and 2022 unless governments make bold choices to increase the share of health in general government spending.
Part II of the paper discusses policy options to meet the spending needs in health. These options encompass strategies to make fiscal adjustments work and channel funds where they are most needed, as well as policies to stabilize the balance sheets of social health insurance (SHI) schemes. The paper explains how the health sector can play an active role in expanding fiscal space, contributing to tax reforms, most importantly pro-health taxes, and mobilizing and absorbing external financing, including debt relief.
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